船舶动力设备退化基线计算及预测方法

船舶动力设备在自身性能退化过程中的相当长一段时间内仍能完成规定功能,对具有重要特征参数或性能指标的船舶动力设备而言,若使用定基线进行健康状态评估会导致评估值连续较低甚至误报警问题。为了解决这一问题,以目标设备按性能退化时间序列采集的特征参数为研究对象,首先建立退化基线计算方法,利用滑动概率神经网络和性能可靠度与基线值间的转换函数获得目标设备的动态退化基线;然后建立ARMA预测模型获得预测参数,并与退化基线计算方法结合对退化基线发生动态变化的时间节点进行预测;最后利用海水泵对建立的方法可行性进行验证。结果表明,本文建立的退化基线计算方法能够获得动态基线,退化基线预测方法能够对动态基线的变化时间节点进行准确预测。     

论海上危机决策

阐述了海上危机管理的发展趋势,针对海上危机决策的特殊性,分析了决策者的作用和能力,决策的模式、方法、艺术和决策最佳人选,以及防止危机产生的方法和措施。     

船舶电站控制系统中的数据融合技术探讨

船舶电站是船舶电力系统的重要组成部分。随着电力电子设备在船舶中的大量应用,非线性负载的增多,对船舶电站控制的可靠性及故障预防提出了更高的要求。多传感器数据融合技术是近年发展起来的一门新兴技术,文章根据多传感器数据融合技术的基本思想,采用扩张的卡尔曼滤波法对电站参数进行冗余数据融合,在船舶电站控制的实时性和可靠性方面取得了较好的效果。     

船舶运输精矿粉的安全监管

介绍了船舶运输精矿粉发生的一些严重事故,全面分析了船舶运输含水量过大精矿粉所存在的危险性因素,并根据原因分析提出对此类船舶的安全监督管理建议。     

我国船舶大功率柴油机现状与发展趋势

分析对比了国内外船舶大功率柴油机的现状、技术发展趋势及存在的差距,提出了我国发展船舶大功率柴油机的思路和建议。     

海上卫星移动通信系统位置更新速率仿真研究

终端位置更新速率又是卫星通信系统终端位置管理的重要指标,直接影响到海上卫星移动通信系统的性能。从位置区设置方式出发,探讨采用不同的位置管理策略下的位置更新速率计算,并通过STK4.02和OPNET8.0.平台下的数值仿真,分析不同参数影响下的各种管理策略的特点。     

数字技术在船用频率捷变雷达信标中的应用

数字技术正渗透到一切电子设计部门,特别是雷达领域。本文叙述了数字技术在频率捷变雷达信标中的应用,它可克服模拟电路的局限性,特别是采用微处理机后,拓展了增强雷达信标功能的途径,如旁瓣的有效抑制、信标机状态的自检及性能自测并遥报、信标机的非实时应答响应、电源的自动搜索控制等。     

Pb and Pu in the Northeast Water Polynya, Greenland: particle dynamics and sediment mixing rates

Distributions of the radionuclides ²¹⁰Pb and ^239,240Pu in sediment cores from the Northeast Water Polynya, Greenland, showed that these nuclides reached depths of 5–15 cm by particle mixing and sediment accumulation. End-member average values of the particle mixing coefficient and sediment accumulation rate were 0.13 cm² y⁻¹ and 0.06 cm y⁻¹, obtained from the ²¹⁰Pb profiles by assuming that each process is dominant relative to the other. Both ²¹⁰Pb and ^239,240Pu were measured on four cores; using the Pu data to constrain mixing rates produced corrected sediment accumulation rates that were 20–80% of the values calculated by neglecting mixing. Organic carbon burial in the polynya sediments was ≤0.4 mmol m⁻² d⁻¹, based on measured POC values at depth in the sediments and sediment accumulation rates corrected for mixing. This value is about 1% of the independently measured POC flux leaving the euphotic zone and compares with benthic carbon remineralization rates of 7% calculated by others from O₂ uptake in the sediments.The inventories of excess ²¹⁰Pb in the sediments ranged from 6 to 28 dpm cm⁻². Relative to the atmospheric input of ²¹⁰Pb and in situ production from decay of ²²⁶Ra, approximately 5 dpm cm⁻² of ²¹⁰Pb was being removed from the water column. The difference between the removal from the water column and sediment inventories suggests a net import of ²¹⁰Pb to the polynya. This may occur by input of dissolved ²¹⁰Pb from offshore waters or by input of ²¹⁰Pb carried by sea ice. Particulate matter in land-derived fast ice adjacent to the polynya contained 330 ± 14 dpm of excess ²¹⁰Pb g⁻¹. If particles transported in sea ice are comparable to those extracted from fast ice, then sea ice transport into the polynya followed by melting may be an important source of excess ²¹⁰Pb to the area. Fast ice also may contribute ²¹⁰Pb if portions break off and melt within the polynya, as occurred in 1993.     

舰船回转过程中内、外侧螺旋桨负荷变化规律的新现象

在许多教科书中,螺旋桨推进双桨船在回转过程中内、外螺旋桨负荷变化规律均有如下叙述:回转过程中内侧螺旋桨负荷远大于外侧螺旋桨负荷.这个结论也被某些实船试验结果所证实.但新近完成的某双桨船的回转试验的多个实测结果表明:外侧螺旋桨负荷远大于内侧螺旋桨负荷.在上世纪90年代国内有人已发现过这一新现象,但当时无人记录和分析以进行研究.本文报告和分析了这一新现象.文章首先简要回顾了以往教科书和某些实船试航回转过程中内、外桨负荷变化规律;然后介绍了某新船回转试验的实测结果,论述了实测结果的可信性.本文着重探讨了导致这一新现象的主要原因,如船体形状、船的运动、内外螺旋桨的运动、桨与船的相互作用和桨与桨的相互作用等.     

New-Level VR Marine Training System

Marine simulator is a valuable and effective medium for maritime education and training and is becoming widespread to foster the qualified and competent personnel for working in the maritime industry.However,many problems with most marine simulation systems today limit their pervasive use:the limited accessibility,immobility,the high expenditure,the long develop- meat cycle,and the difficult maintenance etc.A web-based maritime training environment is proposed in this paper as a new ma- rine training level,which fully combining web technology,VR,high fidelity simulation,and e-learning tools to create a more cost- effective and flexible training environment still with very realistic and high-interactive simulation characteristics,the system will provide a consistent and more flexible training medium for improving maritime education and training.